Both locations at normal hours today

Closing at 430p

Nov 6, 2024   

An impressive turnaround for corn and beans after showing a sizeable loss in the early hours.

The financial markets have been reacting to what appears to be a Republican sweep of all 3 legislative branches.

The dollar index gapped sharply higher and traded to its highest level in 4 months.

The stronger dollar and fears of renewed trade wars with China and Mexico was initially the focus and weighed heavily on corn and especially soybean futures.

Corn fundamentals have been improving as export demand has been strong.

The USDA will update their WASDE numbers on Friday. Analysts expect small revisions to both corn and bean production. Estimates are at the bottom.

Weekly ethanol production came in above trade estimates and at the highest level for this marketing year and highest since late July. Ethanol stocks were also above trade estimates.

Weekly ethanol production showed a 2.1% jump compared to last week's output, and up 2.2% from the same week last year.

The energy markets have turned moderately higher after initial reaction was weaker. Trump policies are expected to be favorable for oil production.

From a technical perspective, Dec Corn CZ has reversed higher in key reversal fashion after posting a lower low and higher high on the daily chart.

It's also interesting to see the 20, 50 and 100-day moving averages converging near 4.13 this morning (CZ24).

Nov SX Bean futures have rallied back near unchanged and back above the 20-day moving average after holding support near the recent lows.

On the weather front, soaking rains continue for C and N Brazil. Argentina and S Brazil remain dry for the next week or so. Rans are expected by mid-month.

Estimates for Friday's WASDE report are as follows:

Corn Yield 183.8 vs 183.8 in Oct

Bean Yield 52.9 vs 53.1 in Oct

End stocks:

Corn 1.936 vs 1.999 in Oct

Beans 535 vs 550 in Oct